On-chain data in the Bitcoin market continues to provide important clues about investor sentiment and market structure.
While recent data suggests a cautious market sentiment, some indicators indicate that investors are still in profit.
The Fear and Greed Index reveals that Bitcoin investors are currently in a highly fearful environment. According to the index data, the market is in the “Extreme Fear” zone with a score of 15 points.
The Bitcoin price is trading at approximately $71,400. The Realized Price, a key reference point in on-chain data, is around $54,400. The fact that Bitcoin’s current price remains above this level indicates that investors’ average costs are above the market average and that the overall market is still profitable.

In the last 24 hours, short positions accounted for the majority of total liquidations. Approximately $53 million worth of short positions were liquidated, while long liquidations remained around $11 million.

Another important on-chain indicator, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, is currently at 1.31. This ratio measures how high Bitcoin’s market capitalization is relative to the average cost of investors. Historically, an MVRV ratio above 3.7 indicates that the market is overvalued and that macro peaks may be approaching, while a ratio below 1 is generally associated with major troughs.

The Net Recognized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ratio, which measures the market’s profit and loss status, is at 0.24. This value indicates that a significant portion of investors are in profit, but the market has not yet entered a phase of excessive euphoria. Historically, NUPL values above 0.7 are associated with the market nearing its peak, while values below 0 generally signal capitulation and bottoming out.

*This is not investment advice.


