The documentary “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” which claims to reveal the identity of Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto, will be available for viewing tonight, October 9, 2024 at 04:00 (UTC+3).
With hours left until the launch, interesting developments are taking place in the odds on the prediction market platform Polymarket. The odds of Len Sassaman, who has been in first place for days and is seen as the most likely to be announced, have dropped to 5.5%. Sassaman is still the only person with the second highest odds in terms of probability.
Adam Back is currently in first place with an 8% rate.
When the odds are examined in the current situation, it is seen that the biggest possibility is “more than one person/other people”. The most important factor in this was the video that was recently put out on X and claimed to be a documentary section claiming that Satoshi Nakamoto is Peter Todd. Since there is no Peter Todd option on Polymarket, traders turned to the “more than one person/other people” option.
On the other hand, in the incident that happened yesterday, after Satoshi claimed that Samson Mow, who was alleged to be in the documentary, was Adam Back in a post he made on X, Back's rate increased to 76%. However, this claim was later denied by Back and he said that Mow was “joking.”
*This is not investment advice.