Donald Trump’s new tariff policies and escalating tensions in the Middle East are increasing uncertainty in global markets, while Bitcoin is going through a critical juncture.
Strategist James Lavish stated that markets hate uncertainty, and that Trump’s “unpredictability” strategy has put pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. Lavish said, “Bitcoin is currently acting like a risk asset; we have to accept that fact.”
He also warned that markets might turn to “safe havens” such as gold and treasury bonds in response to this uncertainty.
Dave Weisberger, former CEO of CoinRoutes, argued that the legal and political complexities created by the taxes would generate a wave of economic uncertainty. Weisberger also noted that uncertainty in trade agreements could reduce risk appetite in the business world.
Bitcoin’s recent performance and the possibility of a fifth consecutive monthly close in the red have become a topic of discussion among experts.
Bloomberg Senior Commodities Strategist Mike McGlone paints a rather pessimistic picture for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Arguing that Bitcoin is in a “bear market” and that liquidations are far from over, McGlone stated, “The downtrend will continue until Bitcoin breaks above $74,000 and stays there.”
McGlone also predicts that a true bottom will not be reached until the “junk” (altcoins and memecoins) in the market is cleaned up.
Dave Weisberger, unlike McGlone, pointed to the increase in the Bitcoin network’s hash rate, suggesting that governments might be secretly mining Bitcoin. According to Weisberger, this “V” shaped recovery is a crucial leading indicator showing that the network is strengthening while the price is falling.
*This is not investment advice.