According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, the cryptocurrency market has become accustomed to the steady accumulation of Bitcoin by large holders, commonly referred to as whales.
Whale news that moved the market just a few years ago is now considered routine, reflecting a shift in market dynamics.
In a recent statement, Ju noted that the prevalence of whale congestion has become a daily topic of discussion: “Just 2-3 years ago, news of whale congestion would send shock waves through the market. Today, this is no longer breaking news, but just expected, routine information.”
According to Ju, this normalization is due to the relative absence of individual investors and the dominance of whales in the Bitcoin market. Ju believes this dynamic is widely accepted within the crypto community.
Addressing concerns about a potential bubble, Ju defined a bubble as a period when the market price, as measured by on-chain data, significantly exceeds the actual capital inflow. Comparing this to the current state of the market, Ju cited the weekly on-chain capital inflow of $7 billion as evidence of an ongoing bull market.
“We are clearly in a bull market right now,” Ju said. He suggested that the muted reaction to the whale accumulation news could be due to consistent bull market calls from analysts, including himself, over the past two years. However, he noted that the bull market is not over and a true bubble scenario would be characterized by analysts’ widespread warnings of a cyclical top.
Ju rejected the idea of an imminent bear market, calling on those predicting a downturn to back up their claims with data: “I would like to hear the reasoning of those predicting a bear market. One thing is clear: they are not looking at on-chain data.”
While the analyst acknowledged the possibility of a correction, he downplayed its potential impact within the current bull cycle. He predicted that any decline would likely be less than 30% and short-lived, with the potential for a strong recovery.
*This is not investment advice.
