On the cryptocurrency prediction platform Polymarket, investors’ expectations regarding whether leading crypto assets will reach their all-time highs (ATH) again have begun to take shape.
Probability data generated on the platform reveals that the market presents a cautious but gradually optimistic outlook for 2026.
Short-term predictions for Bitcoin show a very low probability. According to the market, the probability of Bitcoin reaching a new peak by June 30, 2026 is only 3%. This rate increases to 8% for September 30, 2026, and to 14% for the end of the year, December 31, 2026.
A similar trend is also noticeable on the Ethereum side. While the probability of Ethereum reaching its all-time high (ATH) by June 2026 remains at a very low level of 2%, this rate increases to 9% for September 2026 and to approximately 16% for the end of the year.
Solana investors, however, have more cautious expectations. The probability of Solana reaching a new peak by June 2026 is measured at around 2%, while it is priced at around 6% for September 2026 and 10% for the end of the year.
On the other hand, market expectations for XRP are showing a relatively more balanced increase. The probability of XRP reaching its all-time high (ATH) by June 2026 is at 3%, while it rises to 12% for September 2026 and 13% for the end of the year.
*This is not investment advice.
