Cryptocurrency analysis company MakroVision has published a noteworthy assessment of Bitcoin’s technical indicators. According to the company’s analysis, Bitcoin’s price historically rarely falls below the 30 level on a weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), and such instances usually signal the beginning of a prolonged bottoming process rather than a sudden surge.
According to data shared by MakroVision, Bitcoin’s average performance following three major signals where the RSI fell below 30 has been remarkably high. Specifically, it recorded increases of 7.67% over 4 weeks, 13.46% over 13 weeks, 64.34% over 26 weeks, and 77.34% over 52 weeks. However, current data for 2026 shows a significant divergence from these historical averages. According to the analysis, Bitcoin experienced a 6.15% drop in the first 4 weeks after the signal, and has yet to show a significant recovery in approximately 7 weeks.
The company specifically notes that, based on an analysis of historical data, such signals do not immediately signify a “V-shaped reversal.” Indeed, it points out that in 2022, cited as one of the worst-case scenarios, the price experienced an additional drop of approximately 21% following the RSI signal.
According to MacroVision, a weekly RSI below 30 should generally be considered an “extreme zone” for Bitcoin, indicating that the market has entered an oversold region and is approaching structural bottoms, rather than a direct bullish trigger. Analysts believe this suggests continued volatility in the short term, but could lay the groundwork for a potential recovery in the longer term.
*This is not investment advice.
