Cryptocurrency analytics firm Alphractal has published an in-depth assessment of the Bitcoin market, focusing on the “STH & LTH Sentiment Price Bands” metric.
According to the firm, Bitcoin’s price is stuck below the key “Worry Band,” a resistance level that has historically posed challenges for BTC’s upward trajectory.
Breaking through the Worry Band is a vital step for Bitcoin to continue its current uptrend, Alphractal said in a statement. “Every time the price reaches this area, investors tend to sell their BTC,” the company said.
Alphractal noted that this resistance is rarely breached in a single attempt. Instead, Bitcoin’s price often experiences corrections or even enters short-term bearish phases before managing a sustained breakout. To gain traction, Bitcoin needs to stay above $107.3K for a few days, which could pave the way for higher levels of sentiment-based resistance, according to the analyst:
- Optimism Band: $132.6K
- Twitter Band: $163,000
Alphractal also outlined scenarios based on historical price action:
- 2019 Movement (Optimism Band): Bitcoin may peak at $132K.
- 2021 Movement (Temperament Band): The price may rise above $150,000 in 2025.
- 2017 Movement (Temperament Band): Bitcoin may exceed $215,000 in 2025.
- 2015 Movement (Enthusiasm Band): The price may rise to $270,000 in 2025.
Despite these optimistic targets, the firm warned that Bitcoin’s biggest challenge is breaking through the Worry Band resistance, a failure to break this level could delay the bullish outlook and lead to a further correction.
*This is not investment advice.
